Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.285799 0.332680 0.384944 0.447552 0.520560 0.603059 0.703442
2025-02-09 0.215968 0.278933 0.356809 0.460343 0.594623 0.763243 0.991648
2025-02-16 0.176421 0.244618 0.335174 0.464490 0.644953 0.888686 1.244325
2025-02-23 0.147631 0.216836 0.314184 0.461540 0.679845 0.992785 1.478139
2025-03-02 0.123604 0.190756 0.290017 0.448008 0.694467 1.066446 1.674722
2025-03-09 0.111316 0.179615 0.285181 0.460997 0.748365 1.202794 1.982458
2025-03-16 0.098970 0.166269 0.274586 0.462568 0.783141 1.312082 2.260260
2025-03-23 0.090120 0.157164 0.269195 0.471199 0.829547 1.444667 2.593343
2025-03-30 0.079720 0.143906 0.254943 0.462362 0.844015 1.523609 2.841829
2025-04-06 0.071601 0.133521 0.244192 0.457951 0.865095 1.615688 3.125017
2025-04-13 0.065411 0.125802 0.237146 0.459152 0.896158 1.728927 3.462134
2025-04-20 0.062567 0.123983 0.240672 0.480625 0.968303 1.928025 3.993503
2025-04-27 0.059648 0.121785 0.243453 0.501495 1.043029 2.143733 4.593803
2025-05-04 0.056172 0.118055 0.242807 0.515443 1.105693 2.343685 5.191193
2025-05-11 0.052148 0.112658 0.238074 0.520106 1.149111 2.508555 5.735050
2025-05-18 0.047849 0.106125 0.230154 0.516796 1.174524 2.637491 6.215784
2025-05-25 0.043051 0.097902 0.217624 0.501613 1.171173 2.701882 6.555155
2025-06-01 0.041064 0.095748 0.218155 0.516187 1.238222 2.934953 7.331392
2025-06-08 0.038324 0.091516 0.213485 0.517949 1.275000 3.101506 7.967146
2025-06-15 0.036366 0.088891 0.212204 0.527634 1.332209 3.324217 8.777174
2025-06-22 0.033361 0.083369 0.203424 0.517719 1.339041 3.423078 9.277597
2025-06-29 0.030934 0.078996 0.196931 0.512770 1.357966 3.554940 9.885853
2025-07-06 0.029067 0.075826 0.193057 0.514117 1.393632 3.734851 10.653144